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Prediction for CME (2026-05-27T22:37:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2026-05-27T22:37ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/46435/-1 CME Note: Faint SE partial halo CME in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and GOES CCOR-1, and visible to the SE in STEREO A COR2 at 2026-05-28T01:38Z. The source of this event is likely very faint dimming and field line movement seen centered at approx. S20E20 as seen in SDO AIA 193, starting as early as around 2026-05-27T19:00Z. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-05-31T14:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0 Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M) Prediction Method Note: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/46437/1 Model Inputs: 2026-05-27T22:37:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-14.0, Lat.=-30.0, Speed=359.0, HalfAngle=35.0, Time21.5=2026-05-28T07:46Z Model Output: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2026-05-31T14:00Z (+- 7 hours) (kp)90=2 (kp)180=4 Other Location(s) Impact: Europa Clipper with esitmated shock arrival time 2026-06-03T00:00Z OSIRIS-APEX with esitmated shock arrival time 2026-06-01T12:00Z Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260528_074600_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260528_074600_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260528_074600_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260528_074600_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260528_074600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260528_074600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260528_074600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260528_074600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260528_074600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260528_074600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260528_074600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260528_074600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260528_074600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260528_074600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260528_074600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260528_074600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260528_074600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_EuropaClippr_timeline.gifLead Time: 72.52 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Tony Iampietro (M2M SWAO) on 2026-05-28T13:29Z |
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